NFL Kicking Props: Field Goal, Extra Point and Kicker Specials
Available in US
Nobody talks about kickers at the pub. Nobody builds their NFL Sunday around a field goal prop. And that’s exactly why kicking props have been quietly profitable for me over the past six seasons. While the entire prop betting market fixates on quarterbacks, running backs, and wide receivers, the kicker specials sit in a corner with softer lines and less public money shaping the odds. I stumbled into this market accidentally – a throwaway bet on total kicking points during the 2020 playoffs – and I’ve been mining it ever since.
Kicking props are a niche within a niche, but for punters willing to learn the mechanics, they offer something rare in NFL betting: inefficiency. Here’s what the markets look like and where the value tends to appear.
Field Goal Distance and Attempt Props
Field goal props come in two main flavours. The first is total field goals made – a simple over/under on how many field goals a kicker will convert in a game, typically set at 1.5. The second is longest field goal – whether the longest successful attempt will exceed a certain distance, usually in the 40-45 yard range.
What drives field goal attempt volume isn’t kicker talent – it’s offensive efficiency in a specific zone. Teams that move the ball well between the 20-yard lines but stall in the red zone produce more field goal attempts. This is counterintuitive: a good offence that can’t finish drives in the end zone generates more kicking opportunities than either a great offence (which scores touchdowns) or a bad offence (which punts). The teams to target for field goal over bets are the ones with high red zone drive rates but below-average red zone touchdown conversion percentages.
About 40% of first touchdowns in the Super Bowl historically come from passing plays, but in the regular season, plenty of opening drives end with field goals instead. Early-game play-calling is often conservative, and coaches are more willing to take three points than risk a turnover in opposing territory. That tendency makes the first-quarter field goal prop – available at some UK bookmakers – an underexplored market. If both teams in a matchup have conservative opening scripts, the probability of at least one first-quarter field goal is higher than the posted odds typically suggest.
Longest field goal props require a different analytical approach. Here, you’re not just predicting attempts – you’re predicting that the offence stalls in a specific portion of the field. A longest field goal over 44.5 yards requires the offence to reach approximately the opponent’s 27-yard line without converting a first down close enough for a shorter attempt. Games with high-quality defences and above-average offences tend to produce this scenario: the offence can move the ball past midfield but gets stopped before the red zone.
Total Kicking Points Markets
Total kicking points – the combined points from field goals and extra points by a single kicker – is the prop that drew me into this market. It’s a simple concept: a kicker who converts two extra points and one field goal has 5 kicking points. The line is typically set between 5.5 and 8.5, depending on the projected scoring environment.
What makes this market interesting is that it correlates with total game scoring but not perfectly. A high-scoring game produces extra points (1 per touchdown), but it might not produce field goals if both offences are finishing drives in the end zone. Conversely, a moderate-scoring game with multiple stalled red zone drives can produce 3-4 field goals plus a few extra points, pushing the kicking total higher than expected.
My approach: I look for games where the total points line is in the 44-48 range – moderate-to-high scoring – but where at least one team has a red zone touchdown conversion rate below 55%. Those are the games where the kicker is busy. A team that scores 24 points on four touchdowns gives the kicker 4 points (extra points). A team that scores 24 points on two touchdowns and four field goals gives the kicker 14 points. Same team score, vastly different kicking totals.
Where Kicking Props Offer Hidden Value
The hidden value in kicking props comes from one structural reality: bookmakers invest less modelling effort in kicker markets than in any other NFL prop category. The volume of bets on kicker props is a fraction of what quarterback or receiver props attract, so the financial incentive to sharpen the lines is lower. Average hold rates across major operators have climbed to 9-11% in 2025, but the margin on kicking props is often set wider because the market is thin enough that the bookmaker doesn’t need precision to guarantee a profit.
That wider margin sounds like a disadvantage, but it actually works in your favour if your analysis is sound. A wider margin means the lines are less precisely set, which means the gap between the posted odds and the true probability is larger – in both directions. You’ll encounter more overpriced overs and more overpriced unders than you would in a tightly priced market. The key is having the analytical framework to identify which side the mispricing falls on.
Three specific value angles I’ve used consistently. First, kicker props in games where the total points line sits in the mid-40s with at least one team ranking in the bottom third of red zone touchdown efficiency. Second, kicker overs in outdoor games with moderate wind (8-14 mph) – enough to make deep passing harder but not enough to affect field goal accuracy, which pushes offences toward shorter, field-goal-range drives. Third, kicker unders in dome games between high-powered offences. When both teams are scoring touchdowns at will indoors, the kicker’s role shrinks to extra points, and the total kicking points line is often set too high relative to the low field goal probability.
Kicking props will never be the glamorous part of your betting card. But in a market where hold rates are rising and edges are shrinking across every major prop category, the neglected corners of the market are where disciplined punters still find room to operate.
How does venue altitude affect field goal prop bets?
Higher altitude reduces air density, allowing the ball to travel farther. Denver’s Mile High Stadium is the most notable example – kickers routinely hit longer field goals there than at sea-level venues. If a game is played at altitude, longest field goal overs become slightly more attractive, and total field goal attempt props may shift because coaches are more willing to attempt kicks from longer distances.
Do UK bookmakers offer individual kicker props for NFL games?
Most major UKGC-licensed bookmakers offer at least basic kicker props for NFL games, including total kicking points and total field goals made. Longer field goal props and kicker-specific markets are less consistently available – some platforms carry them for marquee games like the Super Bowl or Sunday Night Football but drop them for the full 16-game slate. Checking multiple bookmakers before game day is the best way to find full kicker prop coverage.
Written by the editors at top nfl Prop Bets.
